Price lab

Usual

This year’s season avg mixed with last 5. 50/50 is the default. Under 5 games, season avg counts more. Last-season 60/40 is still season reset only.

Mix in season avg

Price move

Tonight vs usual, plus a points kicker so 50 ≠ 28. Adds to 100%.

Vs usual Points kicker

Tonight score

How tonight’s box is scored. Same mix for last 5. Points lead.

Pts Reb Ast Stl + blk TO penalty

Caps

Only historic nights hit +500M. Bad nights can drop up to −300M. Usual ≈ ±40M. 2500M cannot rise.

Strength Max raise Max drop Strong-night cap Monster pts ≥ Curve

Night labels

Board names only. Price uses vs usual + points, not the label.

Historic vs usual ≥ Historic points ≥ Hot vs usual ≥ Cold vs usual ≤ Stinker vs usual ≤

Rules

Passing neighbors, DNP freeze, gravity back toward usual.

Good nights cannot drop Min bump to pass Freeze after no game Gravity